10.31.07

Quite Contrary

Posted in Economic at 9:46 pm by

Vladimir Putin met with Secretary of State Rice and Secretary of Defense Gates regarding the American plan to install missile defense in Europe. He is not happy:

In a tense start to talks on a range of thorny issues, President Vladimir Putin on Friday warned U.S. officials to back off a plan to install missile defenses in eastern Europe or risk harming relations with Moscow.

Addressing Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Defense Secretary Robert Gates, the Russian president appeared to mock the U.S. missile defense plan, which is at the center of a tangle of arms control and diplomatic disputes between the former Cold War adversaries.

“Of course we can sometime in the future decide that some anti-missile defense system should be established somewhere on the moon,” Putin said, according to an English translation. “But before we reach such arrangements we will lose the opportunity for fixing some particular arrangements between us.”

After Putin’s session with Gates and Rice, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov told reporters that the U.S. delegation had presented “detailed proposals” to address U.S.-Russian differences on missile defense and arms control. He offered no details but said the Russian government is ready to seek compromise.

“We have differences and there is no need to hide them,” Lavrov said.

The Russian government sees the U.S. missile defense plan, which Washington describes as a hedge against the threat of missile attack from Iran, as a worrisome step toward weakening Russian security. It has been a longstanding dispute, and Putin’s remarks seemed to raise the level of tensions.

Rice and Gates appeared taken aback at the firm tone and forcefulness of Putin’s remarks, which were made from notes in the presence of American and Russian news media before they began a closed-door meeting around an oval table in an ornate conference room at his country house outside the capital.

“We will try to find ways to cooperate,” Rice said in response. “Even though we have our differences, we have a great deal in common because that which unites us in trying to deal with the threats of terrorism, of proliferation, are much greater than the issues that divide us.”

Alas, however, “that which unites us” is growing increasingly small in number. In addition to the dispute over the issue of missile defense, there are disputes over Russia’s worldwide role, disputes over Putin’s role in Russian politics and there are certainly disputes over Russia’s relations and actions concerning other former Soviet states. In each instance, Russia has taken a stance that is antithetical to American interests and concerns.

At some point, all of this needs to be addressed via a comprehensive overhaul of American policy towards Russia. We have not had that overhaul yet. I wonder how much time it will take–and how much fewer “that which unites us” will have to number–before such an overhaul takes place.

Originaly from Source

Progress In Iraq

Posted in Economic at 8:55 pm by

When stories like this appear, they are cause for at least small celebration:

In a number of Shiite neighborhoods across Baghdad, residents are beginning to turn away from the Mahdi Army, the Shiite militia they once saw as their only protector against Sunni militants. Now they resent it as a band of street thugs without ideology.

The hardening Shiite feeling in Baghdad opens an opportunity for the American military, which has long struggled against the Mahdi Army, as American commanders rely increasingly on tribes and local leaders in their prosecution of the war.

The sectarian landscape has shifted, with Sunni extremists largely defeated in many Shiite neighborhoods, and the war in those places has sunk into a criminality that is often blind to sect.

In interviews, 10 Shiites from four neighborhoods in eastern and western Baghdad described a pattern in which militia members, looking for new sources of income, turned on Shiites.

The pattern appears less frequently in neighborhoods where Sunnis and Shiites are still struggling for territory. Sadr City, the largest Shiite neighborhood, where the Mahdi Army’s face is more political than military, has largely escaped the wave of criminality.

Among the people killed in the neighborhood of Topchi over the past two months, residents said, were the owner of an electrical shop, a sweets seller, a rich man, three women, two local council members, and two children, ages 9 and 11.

It was a disparate group with one thing in common: All were Shiites killed by Shiites. Residents blamed the Mahdi Army, which controls the neighborhood.

“Everyone knew who the killers were,” said a mother from Topchi, whose neighbor, a Shiite woman, was one of the victims. “I’m Shiite, and I pray to God that he will punish them.”

The feeling was the same in other neighborhoods.

“We thought they were soldiers defending the Shiites,” said Sayeed Sabah, a Shiite who runs a charity in the western neighborhood of Huriya. “But now we see they are youngster-killers, no more than that. People want to get rid of them.”

Read the whole thing. In addition to showing that the Mahdi Army has alienated itself from the population, stories like this one also serve to show that the U.S. is profiting not only from the surge but from the implementation of the counterinsurgency plan General Petraeus helped write. For those who are genuinely interested in the fate and future of Iraq and want to see the country succeed, this story should be a big one and should point the way to how policy should be implemented in the coming months.

Originaly from Source

The *Next* Al Gore Consolation Prize for Never, Ever Going to Be President Contest.

Posted in Economic at 8:05 pm by

Fausta’s first possible post-Nobel scenario for Mr. Gore aside, I think that she’s hit on something here:

The coy former Vice-President may run for president again, may choose to stay home admiring his Oscar, Emmy, and Nobel, or may do a one-man show on Broadway, which may in turn win him a Tony award, thus outdoing Rita Moreno, who hasn’t won a Nobel Peace Prize yet.

When you think about it, the possibilities are endless for the man. So, please: tell us what award he’s going to cop next, and tell us how he’s going to go get it.

For example: I think that he should try for a Hugo. Granted, he probably can’t write for beans, but that’s easily remedied: he can go look up David Brin, drag him away from his bleg for Diebold employees to expose the Neocon Conspiracy*, and they can hack out a book together. Quality may not even matter: there’s a fair chance that the committee will give the award out of sheer gratitude that somebody’s gotten Brin writing science fiction again.

So stick ‘em in comments. The more obscure, the better, but they’ve got to be legitimate awards. The guy’s got needs, you understand?

Moe

*Yeah, it depresses the living Hell out of me too. “Thor Meets Captain America” was and is one of my favorite alternate history short stories.

Originaly from Source

10.30.07

Navy SEAL Wins Medal of Honor

Posted in Economic at 10:26 pm by

If you look on the front pages of our nation’s major newspapers you might learn that a loudmouth poseur and fabulist is set to win the Nobel Peace Prize but what you won’t find is acknowledgement that Navy Lieutenant Michael P. Murphy has been awarded a posthumous Medal of Honor.

Lieutenant Murphy led a 4-man stick of Navy SEALs on a mission in Afghanistan. A mission that was ultimately compromised by their humanity. In the ensuing firefight three of the SEALs, including Lt. Murphy were killed. Eight more SEALs and eight soldiers were killed when their MH-47 was hit by a rocket propelled grenade and crashed.

Whether this wasn’t newsworthy in the view of some pencil neck editor or part of a worldview that only thinks bad behavior by US forces worth reporting or indicative of a culture that can no longer bring itself to acknowledge sacrifice and heroism is immaterial. The fact that a young man could win the nation’s highest award for valor, posthumously, and receive only passing attention (less than one column-inch in the Washington Post) is a sad commentary on the country he died defending.

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So who bought and paid for whom, again?

Posted in Economic at 9:36 pm by

There’s quite a bit to quibble with in this article, but the central point is tasty:

Anti-War Movement Stuck in a Quagmire
By David Nather

Over the summer, a coalition of anti-war activists racked up plenty of statistics in their drive to end the occupation of Iraq. They held 1,100 press events, by their count, planted more than 30,000 yard signs, posted 265 videos on YouTube and harangued lawmakers in person 125 times for voting to continue the war.

And yet, the Iraq summer campaign didnt break the stalemate in Congress over the war. In fact, its not clear that the effort changed any votes at all. When the Senate voted last month on a relatively mild proposal by Democrat Jim Webb of Virginia to give the troops minimum rest periods between deployments, it got 56 votes the same as in July, and still four votes short of what was needed to break a filibuster.

These are frustrating times for the collection of political, veterans, labor, and grass-roots organizations that make up the modern anti-war movement. At a time when a solid majority of the American public wants to pull some or all troops out of Iraq, these groups have been unable to turn the public support for their goals into enough votes to get a withdrawal proposal through the Senate, much less override a presidential veto.

And how are they planning to deal with this? Why, read on, and see.

It would seem that the Netroots aren’t getting the love from their ostensible possession that they’d like:

Instead, they say, its because the groups simply have won all the Democratic votes theyre going to get. The only place to pick up more votes, at least for the next year, is on the Republican side.

And the only means for accomplishing that, it seems, is for the anti-war groups to reach out more emphatically to Republicans who have expressed doubts about the war in search of a compromise that could win their votes while keeping almost all the Democrats in the fold. What was always missing, and continues to elude us, is the 10 to 12 Republicans who will come over to our side and help us break the logjam, said Democratic Sen. Jack Reed of Rhode Island, one of the sponsors of the legislation to set a timetable to withdraw troops. If there were any missing energy in the anti-war movement, he said, that might be where they could apply it.

The other option is to redirect their efforts to the 2008 election campaigns and target a group of Republicans for defeat, especially in the Senate. That approach worked well for the anti-war groups in 2006, when the voters put both houses of Congress into Democratic hands, and some in the movement have concluded that it is the only goal worth pursuing now since Republicans arent changing their votes.

Yes, again, bits to quibble about in there - although it’s frankly in the GOP’s best interests for the Netroots to keep telling themselves that they were instrumental in flipping Congress - but let’s get past that and look at the main points. The short version: the antiwar movement cannot get a Democratic-controlled Congress to end the war. Their options are then apparently to either get more Republicans on-side, or else get rid of enough of them to have an even larger majority, starting in 2009. Let’s look at both.

Getting more Republicans on-side would seem to be the easier solution, except for one problem: the netroots won’t accept that they’d have to compromise on a good number of things, not to mention treat GOP Congressmen as real, live human beings. Given that one standard antiwar tactic is to accuse Republicans of every crime short of actual sexual congress with livestock, you can imagine that this is proving to be a bit of a problem for them. For that matter, being willing to compromise implies that the person offering the compromise is willing to entertain the possibility that s/he was not 150% correct about the situation - which, given the essentially religious nature of antiwar activism, makes this option a no-go right there.

The other plan - to elect more Democrats - is probably workable, in that it doesn’t require the netroots to actually engage in self-criticism in the way that they’ve been wasting everyone’s time for the last… heck, for some of them it’s getting on “few decades.” However, there is one small wrinkle to that plan; based on what we’ve seen so far, it won’t work. Oh, sure, they might be able to help skew the balance in Congress a bit more for their masters - but in terms of actual policy change, well, why would the Democrats care? As I’ve noted before, you told them back in the day that you’d vote for a cheese sandwich over George Bush; you thought that you were demanding better candidates, but what you were really asking for was an endless supply of cheese sandwiches.

But I’d like to end this with a thought experiment. Let us suppose that back in 2002 the progressives had sent a couple of their Congressfolk to the President with this message:

Hi. We don’t like you, we don’t trust you, and that goes double for your Party. We’ve established that? Good.

But… we can’t stop you. We tried, with Afghanistan; and the way it blew up in our collective face tells us that we’re not going to stop you over Iraq. So, there’s no help for it but for us to get seat at the table. You want a bipartisan war? Fine. See these Congresspeople and Senators? Make room for them, listen to them, and we’ll back off. If you don’t, we will make the 2000 election look like a Saturday night bar fight - and trust us, the papers will be reporting this with us on the side of the angels.

Your call, W.

Let me tell you what would have happened, had you done this. First off, the progressives would currently be the most powerful faction in Congress, instead of the most marginalized. Assuming that we lost the House and Senate in 2006 anyway - which I think that we would have; domestic factors were paramount in that election - Bush would need your support to keep a solid majority on the war, and the rest of the Democrats would be mightily kissing your collective backside to keep their majority on domestic issues. Second, we’d have less troops in Iraq. Our enemy worked out a long time ago that engaging in atrocities would pay dividends in American foreign policy debate: the more they did, the more the Democrats would fulminate, the more the media would lovingly record the whole thing. Absent that incentive, we’d be farther along in our goal of creating an Iraqi government that we can honorably throw the keys at on our way out the door. That means a smaller footprint. Third - and, by the way, this would have been my primary reason, if I had been in your shoes - it’d have been the moral, ethical, and right thing to do.

But, you didn’t do any of that - so now you get to engage in a fun electoral season of trying to get more of the same people who took your money and then lied to you into office… so that they can take your money and then lie to you. But, hey: it may be a cheese sandwich, but at least you showed that damned George W Bush who was the boss of you.

Yup, you certainly did.

Moe Lane

Originaly from Source

‘The Threat to America Is Not Going to Expire in February’

Posted in Economic at 8:45 pm by

On no other issue are Democrats more out of touch with reality than the FISA legislation that will expire in February. The temporary bill, which gives the intelligence community tools needed to combat terrorists, passed the Senate and House in August, but now faces the prospect of being watered down by liberals.

The House Judiciary Committee today voted 20-14 for a FISA bill that would take the country backward. Republican attempts to strengthen the bill seem futile. With the American Civil Liberties Union and liberal bloggers demanding a swift reversal from the votes in August, Democrats seem content to oblige.

Bush deserves credit for fighting back. Today at the White House he threatened to veto the Democrats’ bill and encouraged Congress to make permanent the legislation that passed in August.

Unfortunately, when Congress passed the Protect America Act they set its provisions to expire in February. The problem is the threat to America is not going to expire in February. So Congress must make a choice: Will they keep the intelligence gap closed by making this law permanent? Or will they limit our ability to collect this intelligence and keep us safe, staying a step ahead of the terrorists who want to attack us?

The top Republican on the House Intelligence Committee, Rep. Pete Hoekstra, backed up Bush’s assessment with a stinging rebuke of the Democrats’ bill.

Democrats have focused more on lawyering up terrorist surveillance rather than fixing the actual problem. Now committee Democrats have passed a bill with several fatal flaws that threaten to cripple our intelligence gathering capabilities and puts our nation and troops at riskand all because they chose to ram through a bill and disregarded Republican input.

Continued on the jump …

Hoekstra cited three main problems will the legislation:

1) It burdens military intelligence collection on the battlefield with the same FISA regulations that Director of National Intelligence Adm. Mike McConnell said were causing us to miss out on vital information;

2) It contains no provisions for third parties to challenge FISA court orders; and

3) It creates a centralized database that could subject Americans to alarmingly increased risk of privacy violations by requiring the intelligence community report to Congress information on the identities of U.S. citizens disseminated within the community.

In addition to those three problems, Republicans have also criticized Democrats for avoiding the thorny issue of liability protection for U.S. companies that have complied with the governments request for information about terrorists. The bill that passed in committee today offers protection for future lawsuits, but not those currently pending.

Originaly from Source

10.29.07

Does that mean that there’s not going to be any expulsions, after all? [Updated and bumped.]

Posted in Economic at 10:15 pm by

[UPDATE: And here’s the original YAF response, via the Washington Times. One wonders whether GWU is going to force the actual people making racist commentary to publicly condemn hate speech.]

This is how it went down. Via Volokh, btw.

The YAF at George Washington University [is] going to be hosting Islamo-Fascism Awareness Week later this month.

Monday, this flyer shows up. Please take a really, really good look at it. If you feel like preemptively laughing at the GWU administration, hold it in.

Outrage ensues, with calls for understanding, tolerance, and the immediate expulsion of whoever did this. KEEP HOLDING IT IN!

Tuesday, it is revealed that the poster was actually done by antiwar activists who wanted to highlight the racism of the YAF… by making a racist poster themselves. You may read their rather whiny letter here. You can also stop holding it in.

They also claim that it was all a joke; which, to be fair, might seem to be a reasonable tack to take, what with the lasers in eyes and heroin peg-legs and whatnot. Alas for them, the administration has already gotten on its high horse about this and everything. It is going to be highly entertaining to watch either: GWU admit that they are collectively stupid enough to believe that conservative groups would actually put up posters like this; or actually go after antiwar activists for espousing racism.

Pass the popcorn.

Moe

PS: Still supporting expulsion, SA Executive Vice President Brand Kroeger? No? Why?

Originaly from Source

Sen. Clinton Proposes a New Middle-class Entitlement

Posted in Economic at 9:25 pm by

Stories here and here.

This is basically an expansion of the 401(k) plan. The wrinkle is a money-back guarantee. Anyone who funds a RodhamRetirement™ account is eligible for a tax credit in the current year of up to $1000, provided they make less than $100,000 in household income.

After pseudo-socialized medicine, it’s the second major middle-class entitlement this candidate has proposed.

Now the problem with Senator Clinton is that she’s both a chameleon and a liar, so you really don’t know how much she means anything she says. But in the spirit of taking the opposition seriously, let’s try to unpack it a little.

Read on…

Campaigning in Iowa, Herself proposed to establish a new vehicle for deferring taxes. It’s called an “American Retirement Account,” and details on this are very light. I’ll assume they’re an expansion of the Roth IRA and 401(k) ideas, with the proviso that the devil is in the details. I’m in favor of anything that allows people to defer taxes, since that means that we get the benefits of compound interest instead of the bond-market investors who lend money to fund the Federal deficit.

We have to be careful not to read too much into this proposal. The She-Clinton has learned well (or at least her advisers have) the Zen of Economic Policy Proposals. There are so many missing details that one has to suspect the whole statement is being made only for political effect, a thing that Bill Clinton did many times. And it’s a good strategy, since campaigning on an immediately-forgotten middle-class tax cut had a lot to do with putting him in the White House.

The reason this is worth following through is to discern the outlines of Mrs. Clinton’s overall policy strategy, which seeks to entrench and consolidate Federal power by establishing middle class entitlements.

Ok, so on to the details. From the Bloomberg report:

Americans would be allowed to contribute as much as $5,000 in tax-deferred funds each year to the “American Retirement Accounts,” Clinton said. Depending on household income levels, the government would then offer tax credits of as much as $1,000.

People would be able to take their accounts with them if they leave their jobs, according to the plan, which carries an estimated cost of $20 billion to $25 billion a year. Campaign officials said they believe companies will compete to administer the accounts, and Americans would also have an option similar to the retirement savings plan available to members of Congress.

To help pay for the plan, the New York senator said she would freeze the estate tax at 2009 levels, when it will only affect couples with assets of more than $7 million. President George W. Bush’s 2001 tax-cut program has gradually reduced the estate tax and it is scheduled to be repealed for a year in 2010 unless Congress acts.

Evidently, Rodham noticed that 401(k) plans are pretty popular. What she wants to do is create an incentive for everyone, including people whose employers don’t sponsor 401(k)s, to get in on the action.

Hence the idea of a $1,000 credit against your taxes, payable directly into the new accounts.

Now one would think this idea departs from Progressive ideological purity in that most of this money will find its way into the financial markets. Oh, and the same fund managers who put the money to work will also be making fees from it, which was a no-no for Democrats when we were talking about privatizing Social Security.

But the real point is to extend the expectation of money “gifts” from the government far up into the middle class. The yearly $1,000 payment is available to households with income up to $60,000, with smaller payments for households up to $100,000.

As with Social Security, the genius of the idea is to cement in people’s minds that payments from the Federal government are a fundamental part of how they provide for their families’ needs.

Now you might immediately think that it would be better for people at these middle income levels to just get a reduction in marginal tax rates (which would be far more economically productive).

But keep in mind that middle-class people today pay a very small share of all Federal taxes. And under all of Clinton’s proposals, you can expect their share to drop still further.

This makes government a very sweet deal for an ever-larger percentage of Americans. Just as with the Democrats’ various health-care proposals, the idea is to obtain some social goal at the expense of freedom and economic efficiency.

Ever since the New Deal, Americans have been happy to make this trade, and it’s politically unrealistic to suppose we can roll the clock all the way back. But note that we’re now the only large developed country that is moving in the direction of more socialism, rather than less. The Europeans, who invented many of the ideas that Senator Clinton would like to advance here, are now moving away from socialism, toward flatter tax regimes and lighter regulation of businesses. Why? Because that increases material well-being.

Let’s also take note of two other points that Clinton made in her speech:

The former first lady also spoke about Social Security today, saying she has a “fundamental commitment” to the program. “We’ve got to fight and finally bury the idea of privatizing Social Security,” she said.

Translation: “Let’s destroy the idea that people might actually be good at planning their own financial futures.” Why? BECAUSE IT MIGHT BE TRUE. Personal and economic freedom, because of their myriad beneficial effects, are the most dangerous threat to the ongoing project of expanding the Federal power.

And finally: the bizarre $5,000-per-baby idea is now officially off the table. Again and again, we will be seeing Senator Clinton making economic policy in an ad-hoc and reactive manner, just as her husband did. This makes blatantly clear that, apart from the total lack of leadership, the objectives are political and not economic.

When Senator Clinton comes to you bearing gifts of other people’s money, your response should be just as it would to a total stranger:

Hey, lady, don’t do me any favors!

Originaly from Source

Liberals Resort to Lies on SCHIP

Posted in Economic at 8:35 pm by

Democrats and their liberal allies are so desperate to override President Bush’s veto of SCHIP that they’ll do just about anything. That includes spreading lies about the Republicans who stood on principle to oppose the $35-billion expansion that would cover adults, illegal aliens or families earning up to $83,000.

Today liberal group Americans United for Change came under fire for spreading misinformation about one Republican who has had enough.

Americans United for Change drew flack Wednesday from Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell for its ad that says the Kentucky Republican sided with the big insurance companies when he voted against the $35 billion expansion and reauthorization of the State Childrens Health Insurance Program.

Actually, Americas Health Insurance Plans, a trade group representing 1,300 insurance companies, supported the SCHIP reauthorization.

Brad Woodhouse, the groups president, defended the ad when Politico asked about the inaccuracy.

The ad attacking McConnell is similar to the nearly two dozen that Americans United for Change is running against Republicans at the behest of liberals in Congress. Democrats need about 15 Republicans to switch their votes to override the veto. Many of them, notably Reps. Tim Walberg and Tom Feeney, are standing firm. But there’s only so much the GOP can do when the opposition deliberately misleads.

Read the rest of this entry »

10.28.07

Opening Game’s Close

Posted in Economic at 10:05 pm by

“Any game of chess can be divided into roughly three parts; opening game, (where you first deploy your forces), mid-game, (where any questions of who controls what are decided), and end game, (where you prevail).” [source]

The article this passage comes from is titled “How to Win From the Beginning.” Though chess-oriented, it offers the perfect context here. Winning from the “beginning” is not an option for the GOP in the 2008 elections. Coming from behind, perhaps, but having opened this game with too many of the wrong pieces in play we’re down to wringing our hands, complaining, and/or vilifying those who (on principle and fundamental belief) have had all they’re going to take of equivocating for lesser-valued causes.

Survey the Recommended Diaries list from earlier today, and explain something to me.


Why are we all so worried about losing the White House to our perceived WORST nightmare, while simultaneously insisting we all get behind an only subtly ‘less-so’ alternative (in the minds of some of us)? Why, in fact, is no one even mentioning the extent to which we are each collectively responsible for having done this to ourselves in the first place these last 6 years?

The reality that all our eggs are in this lesser of two evils basket, AGAIN, is of our own doing…and I’m frankly more than a little disgusted that we are down to this…for the third consecutive freaking election cycle.

The strategy that led to our demise in ‘06 was a culmination of years of bad decisions from our political heroes, and non-existent admonitions from their constituencies; the ills of the GOP are the product of we (arrogant and insufficiently cynical) the people. And we come here now, at war with each other over that which is not even the fundamental problem?

The 2008 GOP POTUS forces are deployed. We know the nine, and we know there will soon be 1. We have yet to determine who that may be, but if we aren’t fighting over “who controls what” for the COUNTRY and its future, which one of them prevails and moves into the White House will be of very little consequence.

More below the fold…

This next election is about a whole lot more than keeping Hillary off of Pennsylvania Avenue. It is about immigration, healthcare, war, entitlements, taxes, and (as always) the children!

This next round is (yet again) our chance to make things right on the Hill, or at least address the most fundamental of flaws up there, starting with the geniuses we keep putting into office because they are at least NOT Democrats. AND, this next election (as with each of the last three) is another chance to build for the long term future-of the party AND the Conservative ideals that allegedly gave birth to it. phhht-yeah right-like THAT exists anymore in the GOP…but I digress.

For POTUS, 2000 was about AlGore, and 2004 was about JFKerry. Today, we’re making it about Hillary!, and we keep missing the same fundamental point over and over again; take care not to destroy the founding principles of the Republic in the name of power…especially when the power remains OUT of the hands of those who are supposed to possess it.

God gave us the power to think for ourselves, and do right by ourselves to the extent we can based on what we believe. Our Constitution understands that, and the sects within the GOP better start figuring that out as well. MY personal decision for a particular candidate is not going to kill the GOP. Our continued willingness to sell out the principles it was founded on just might.

Originaly from Source

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