10.31.07
Quite Contrary
Originaly from Source
All about real estate in world
*Yeah, it depresses the living Hell out of me too. “Thor Meets Captain America” was and is one of my favorite alternate history short stories.
Originaly from Source
It would seem that the Netroots aren’t getting the love from their ostensible possession that they’d like:
Instead, they say, its because the groups simply have won all the Democratic votes theyre going to get. The only place to pick up more votes, at least for the next year, is on the Republican side.
And the only means for accomplishing that, it seems, is for the anti-war groups to reach out more emphatically to Republicans who have expressed doubts about the war in search of a compromise that could win their votes while keeping almost all the Democrats in the fold. What was always missing, and continues to elude us, is the 10 to 12 Republicans who will come over to our side and help us break the logjam, said Democratic Sen. Jack Reed of Rhode Island, one of the sponsors of the legislation to set a timetable to withdraw troops. If there were any missing energy in the anti-war movement, he said, that might be where they could apply it.
…
The other option is to redirect their efforts to the 2008 election campaigns and target a group of Republicans for defeat, especially in the Senate. That approach worked well for the anti-war groups in 2006, when the voters put both houses of Congress into Democratic hands, and some in the movement have concluded that it is the only goal worth pursuing now since Republicans arent changing their votes.
Yes, again, bits to quibble about in there - although it’s frankly in the GOP’s best interests for the Netroots to keep telling themselves that they were instrumental in flipping Congress - but let’s get past that and look at the main points. The short version: the antiwar movement cannot get a Democratic-controlled Congress to end the war. Their options are then apparently to either get more Republicans on-side, or else get rid of enough of them to have an even larger majority, starting in 2009. Let’s look at both.
Getting more Republicans on-side would seem to be the easier solution, except for one problem: the netroots won’t accept that they’d have to compromise on a good number of things, not to mention treat GOP Congressmen as real, live human beings. Given that one standard antiwar tactic is to accuse Republicans of every crime short of actual sexual congress with livestock, you can imagine that this is proving to be a bit of a problem for them. For that matter, being willing to compromise implies that the person offering the compromise is willing to entertain the possibility that s/he was not 150% correct about the situation - which, given the essentially religious nature of antiwar activism, makes this option a no-go right there.
The other plan - to elect more Democrats - is probably workable, in that it doesn’t require the netroots to actually engage in self-criticism in the way that they’ve been wasting everyone’s time for the last… heck, for some of them it’s getting on “few decades.” However, there is one small wrinkle to that plan; based on what we’ve seen so far, it won’t work. Oh, sure, they might be able to help skew the balance in Congress a bit more for their masters - but in terms of actual policy change, well, why would the Democrats care? As I’ve noted before, you told them back in the day that you’d vote for a cheese sandwich over George Bush; you thought that you were demanding better candidates, but what you were really asking for was an endless supply of cheese sandwiches.
But I’d like to end this with a thought experiment. Let us suppose that back in 2002 the progressives had sent a couple of their Congressfolk to the President with this message:
Hi. We don’t like you, we don’t trust you, and that goes double for your Party. We’ve established that? Good.
But… we can’t stop you. We tried, with Afghanistan; and the way it blew up in our collective face tells us that we’re not going to stop you over Iraq. So, there’s no help for it but for us to get seat at the table. You want a bipartisan war? Fine. See these Congresspeople and Senators? Make room for them, listen to them, and we’ll back off. If you don’t, we will make the 2000 election look like a Saturday night bar fight - and trust us, the papers will be reporting this with us on the side of the angels.
Your call, W.
Let me tell you what would have happened, had you done this. First off, the progressives would currently be the most powerful faction in Congress, instead of the most marginalized. Assuming that we lost the House and Senate in 2006 anyway - which I think that we would have; domestic factors were paramount in that election - Bush would need your support to keep a solid majority on the war, and the rest of the Democrats would be mightily kissing your collective backside to keep their majority on domestic issues. Second, we’d have less troops in Iraq. Our enemy worked out a long time ago that engaging in atrocities would pay dividends in American foreign policy debate: the more they did, the more the Democrats would fulminate, the more the media would lovingly record the whole thing. Absent that incentive, we’d be farther along in our goal of creating an Iraqi government that we can honorably throw the keys at on our way out the door. That means a smaller footprint. Third - and, by the way, this would have been my primary reason, if I had been in your shoes - it’d have been the moral, ethical, and right thing to do.
But, you didn’t do any of that - so now you get to engage in a fun electoral season of trying to get more of the same people who took your money and then lied to you into office… so that they can take your money and then lie to you. But, hey: it may be a cheese sandwich, but at least you showed that damned George W Bush who was the boss of you.
Yup, you certainly did.
Moe Lane
Originaly from Source
Hoekstra cited three main problems will the legislation:
1) It burdens military intelligence collection on the battlefield with the same FISA regulations that Director of National Intelligence Adm. Mike McConnell said were causing us to miss out on vital information;
2) It contains no provisions for third parties to challenge FISA court orders; and
3) It creates a centralized database that could subject Americans to alarmingly increased risk of privacy violations by requiring the intelligence community report to Congress information on the identities of U.S. citizens disseminated within the community.
In addition to those three problems, Republicans have also criticized Democrats for avoiding the thorny issue of liability protection for U.S. companies that have complied with the governments request for information about terrorists. The bill that passed in committee today offers protection for future lawsuits, but not those currently pending.
Originaly from Source
[UPDATE: And here’s the original YAF response, via the Washington Times. One wonders whether GWU is going to force the actual people making racist commentary to publicly condemn hate speech.]
This is how it went down. Via Volokh, btw.
The YAF at George Washington University [is] going to be hosting Islamo-Fascism Awareness Week later this month.
Monday, this flyer shows up. Please take a really, really good look at it. If you feel like preemptively laughing at the GWU administration, hold it in.
Outrage ensues, with calls for understanding, tolerance, and the immediate expulsion of whoever did this. KEEP HOLDING IT IN!
Tuesday, it is revealed that the poster was actually done by antiwar activists who wanted to highlight the racism of the YAF… by making a racist poster themselves. You may read their rather whiny letter here. You can also stop holding it in.
They also claim that it was all a joke; which, to be fair, might seem to be a reasonable tack to take, what with the lasers in eyes and heroin peg-legs and whatnot. Alas for them, the administration has already gotten on its high horse about this and everything. It is going to be highly entertaining to watch either: GWU admit that they are collectively stupid enough to believe that conservative groups would actually put up posters like this; or actually go after antiwar activists for espousing racism.
Pass the popcorn.
Moe
PS: Still supporting expulsion, SA Executive Vice President Brand Kroeger? No? Why?
Originaly from Source
Campaigning in Iowa, Herself proposed to establish a new vehicle for deferring taxes. It’s called an “American Retirement Account,” and details on this are very light. I’ll assume they’re an expansion of the Roth IRA and 401(k) ideas, with the proviso that the devil is in the details. I’m in favor of anything that allows people to defer taxes, since that means that we get the benefits of compound interest instead of the bond-market investors who lend money to fund the Federal deficit.
We have to be careful not to read too much into this proposal. The She-Clinton has learned well (or at least her advisers have) the Zen of Economic Policy Proposals. There are so many missing details that one has to suspect the whole statement is being made only for political effect, a thing that Bill Clinton did many times. And it’s a good strategy, since campaigning on an immediately-forgotten middle-class tax cut had a lot to do with putting him in the White House.
The reason this is worth following through is to discern the outlines of Mrs. Clinton’s overall policy strategy, which seeks to entrench and consolidate Federal power by establishing middle class entitlements.
Ok, so on to the details. From the Bloomberg report:
Americans would be allowed to contribute as much as $5,000 in tax-deferred funds each year to the “American Retirement Accounts,” Clinton said. Depending on household income levels, the government would then offer tax credits of as much as $1,000.
People would be able to take their accounts with them if they leave their jobs, according to the plan, which carries an estimated cost of $20 billion to $25 billion a year. Campaign officials said they believe companies will compete to administer the accounts, and Americans would also have an option similar to the retirement savings plan available to members of Congress.
To help pay for the plan, the New York senator said she would freeze the estate tax at 2009 levels, when it will only affect couples with assets of more than $7 million. President George W. Bush’s 2001 tax-cut program has gradually reduced the estate tax and it is scheduled to be repealed for a year in 2010 unless Congress acts.
Evidently, Rodham noticed that 401(k) plans are pretty popular. What she wants to do is create an incentive for everyone, including people whose employers don’t sponsor 401(k)s, to get in on the action.
Hence the idea of a $1,000 credit against your taxes, payable directly into the new accounts.
Now one would think this idea departs from Progressive ideological purity in that most of this money will find its way into the financial markets. Oh, and the same fund managers who put the money to work will also be making fees from it, which was a no-no for Democrats when we were talking about privatizing Social Security.
But the real point is to extend the expectation of money “gifts” from the government far up into the middle class. The yearly $1,000 payment is available to households with income up to $60,000, with smaller payments for households up to $100,000.
As with Social Security, the genius of the idea is to cement in people’s minds that payments from the Federal government are a fundamental part of how they provide for their families’ needs.
Now you might immediately think that it would be better for people at these middle income levels to just get a reduction in marginal tax rates (which would be far more economically productive).
But keep in mind that middle-class people today pay a very small share of all Federal taxes. And under all of Clinton’s proposals, you can expect their share to drop still further.
This makes government a very sweet deal for an ever-larger percentage of Americans. Just as with the Democrats’ various health-care proposals, the idea is to obtain some social goal at the expense of freedom and economic efficiency.
Ever since the New Deal, Americans have been happy to make this trade, and it’s politically unrealistic to suppose we can roll the clock all the way back. But note that we’re now the only large developed country that is moving in the direction of more socialism, rather than less. The Europeans, who invented many of the ideas that Senator Clinton would like to advance here, are now moving away from socialism, toward flatter tax regimes and lighter regulation of businesses. Why? Because that increases material well-being.
Let’s also take note of two other points that Clinton made in her speech:
The former first lady also spoke about Social Security today, saying she has a “fundamental commitment” to the program. “We’ve got to fight and finally bury the idea of privatizing Social Security,” she said.
Translation: “Let’s destroy the idea that people might actually be good at planning their own financial futures.” Why? BECAUSE IT MIGHT BE TRUE. Personal and economic freedom, because of their myriad beneficial effects, are the most dangerous threat to the ongoing project of expanding the Federal power.
And finally: the bizarre $5,000-per-baby idea is now officially off the table. Again and again, we will be seeing Senator Clinton making economic policy in an ad-hoc and reactive manner, just as her husband did. This makes blatantly clear that, apart from the total lack of leadership, the objectives are political and not economic.
When Senator Clinton comes to you bearing gifts of other people’s money, your response should be just as it would to a total stranger:
Hey, lady, don’t do me any favors!
Originaly from Source
“Any game of chess can be divided into roughly three parts; opening game, (where you first deploy your forces), mid-game, (where any questions of who controls what are decided), and end game, (where you prevail).” [source]
The article this passage comes from is titled “How to Win From the Beginning.” Though chess-oriented, it offers the perfect context here. Winning from the “beginning” is not an option for the GOP in the 2008 elections. Coming from behind, perhaps, but having opened this game with too many of the wrong pieces in play we’re down to wringing our hands, complaining, and/or vilifying those who (on principle and fundamental belief) have had all they’re going to take of equivocating for lesser-valued causes.
Survey the Recommended Diaries list from earlier today, and explain something to me.
The reality that all our eggs are in this lesser of two evils basket, AGAIN, is of our own doing…and I’m frankly more than a little disgusted that we are down to this…for the third consecutive freaking election cycle.
The strategy that led to our demise in ‘06 was a culmination of years of bad decisions from our political heroes, and non-existent admonitions from their constituencies; the ills of the GOP are the product of we (arrogant and insufficiently cynical) the people. And we come here now, at war with each other over that which is not even the fundamental problem?
The 2008 GOP POTUS forces are deployed. We know the nine, and we know there will soon be 1. We have yet to determine who that may be, but if we aren’t fighting over “who controls what” for the COUNTRY and its future, which one of them prevails and moves into the White House will be of very little consequence.
More below the fold…
This next election is about a whole lot more than keeping Hillary off of Pennsylvania Avenue. It is about immigration, healthcare, war, entitlements, taxes, and (as always) the children!
This next round is (yet again) our chance to make things right on the Hill, or at least address the most fundamental of flaws up there, starting with the geniuses we keep putting into office because they are at least NOT Democrats. AND, this next election (as with each of the last three) is another chance to build for the long term future-of the party AND the Conservative ideals that allegedly gave birth to it. phhht-yeah right-like THAT exists anymore in the GOP…but I digress.
For POTUS, 2000 was about AlGore, and 2004 was about JFKerry. Today, we’re making it about Hillary!, and we keep missing the same fundamental point over and over again; take care not to destroy the founding principles of the Republic in the name of power…especially when the power remains OUT of the hands of those who are supposed to possess it.
God gave us the power to think for ourselves, and do right by ourselves to the extent we can based on what we believe. Our Constitution understands that, and the sects within the GOP better start figuring that out as well. MY personal decision for a particular candidate is not going to kill the GOP. Our continued willingness to sell out the principles it was founded on just might.
Originaly from Source